
WHAT
ARE TRADE PROJECTS AND HOW DO THEY WORK?
Although
all high yield programs and games claim some kind of connection to a trade
project of some type, very few people know anything about what trade
projects
really are, how they work, and what it takes to get into one.
It is estimated that around 95%, or more, of all
high
yield programs
and
games are not real income producing opportunities. It may be possible to
earn
money in them, but that is a byproduct of the ponzi payment system to demonstrate performance
to the initial participants and not the result of true external earnings
based on the business of the company or game. Clearly, it
is possible
to earn money in a Ponzi scheme system, but that is
rare
and only at
the expense of the
later participants.
Because so many programs are
not real
programs, it is
rare for many
people to understand very much about the trade projects which
are
suppose to
be backing
all of
these real
and not real
opportunities. While there is a great deal of trade information
that is
disseminated
through many different sources, much of that information is
conflicting
and wrong. Because the program is not real, the information they provide in terms
of their operation and trades in general is not real.
In the case of mistakes on purpose, this
normally indicates
the company
or
expert is a scam. If the mistakes are accidental, that normally means the expert
may be doing something off the beaten path or has tried to be successful for a
long time but still has not made it. The fact that somebody has not been
successful at getting into a real trade to date does not mean
he or
she will remain unsuccessful in the future.
In the case of mistaken information by accident, this is
very
common because trades only flourish without the light of day. There is
no one
who understands
every aspect
of the
trade industry, probably even including some traders.
The biggest problem with companies that are scams
is
that they teach false
information
that is clearly not possible as a justification for why they
are successful and
trustworthy. For example, many people actually believe that the collected pocket
change from a
dozen
people can corner world markets in the hands of an expert who would rather work with
the collected pocket change of a dozen people instead of the millions or
billions in Wall Street and top European financial institutions.
As a rule of thumb, if the money for trade is
less than what
a television set or cellular telephone costs, that trade is probably not real.
How can it be real?
If the
financial wizard behind the game is such an expert,
why does he need your five or ten dollars?
Diversification
is a very good idea to balance the risk of loss, but only if you are able
to diversify into programs which are probably not very risky. Most
people
are not advised to diversify because they do not possess the necessary skills to choose
programs more likely to succeed. If you diversify but all of the
programs you pick are doomed from the beginning, diversification will be harmful
for you.
When you diversify, if you normally choose
programs
that fail, than you simply spending more money in more programs that fail. If you normally
choose programs that are successful, than diversification will
probably be helpful. The key here is that programs that
fail cost
you money and choosing more programs which fail simply means that you will lose
more money in more cases.
In order to help diversify into successful programs, many
potential members write a series of email test questions
to better judge an opportunity. While many people feel that these test questions
are beneficial, they are actually just a very dangerous waste
of
time. When you write a test question to a program manager, you are providing the
program manager a request for the information you are specifically looking for in
order
to be happy about participation. This makes it very easy to talk anyone into
doing anything.
It is rare for anyone to be a good judge of the
information received, but this is a common assumption. For
example, how many people feel they can do a better job at whatever they are
watching on the television?
Basically, a better coach than the coach, a better general than the general, a
better whatever than whatever. An actor who plays a doctor on television is not
a good judge of the best aspirin and an armchair coach is not
likely to
win any
games either.
Hopefully a firm understanding of how trades really work
will save many people from costly mistakes which most novices make over and over
again. By understanding how trade projects really work, you can make a more
informed decision about participating in a game or not.
It should be clearly noted that it
is
possible to earn a profit from a game. However, a game is different from
a program in that the profit earned in a game represents money that others have lost.
Because a game earns no real profit, any extra money you receive beyond what you
put into the game represents a loss for a later member.
Games are basically like a lottery. A few people
will
earn a great
deal of
money and everyone else will lose the money they invested. Knowing that it is
only
possible to earn money from a game by causing others to lose money, we do not
recommend anyone
to
participate in a game. Even if you are one of the early members and receive a
great deal of money, that money represents the lost hopes and dreams from most
of the other game participants.
What separates a game from a project is an outside money
source that pays
the member profits. In a trade project, the member profit is fresh money from some
kind of investment vehicle. In a game, the member
profit is money that is paid to earlier members from the deposits of later members.
Many people believe that trade projects do not exist,
which is the intended result. These non-traditional
investment
vehicles remove money from traditional investments such as stocks and bonds. It is
estimated that around 10% of the United States Gross Domestic Product every year
is moved offshore to avoid taxes and perform offshore financial activities.
In order to stem this flow of money out of the US taxation system and out of
traditional investment vehicles, the official position of the United States
Government is that trades do not exist even though
the United
States Federal Reserve runs all United States based programs.
Another common reason why many people do not believe
trade
projects exist is because there are very few people who are successful. The
opportunity for fraud is too high; there are many brokers and traders
that are more interested in stealing the funds for trade than
actually locating a trade to earn investment income. Many brokers have no real
trade connections and others falsely believe that the failure
to place implacable assets implies anything about
the trade industry. If 95% of all pool companies and games are not real, at least
98% of all brokers or traders are either fraudulent or they are an honestly
trying to
work placements
but have no legitimate trader connections.
A final main reason why many people do not believe
that trade
programs exist is because the potential earnings are not comparable to more
traditional investment vehicles. Most traditional financial vehicles all
pay around the same, which is by design. This is suppose to stimulate all aspects of
the economy without prodigious while at the same time keeping most citizens
from attaining any real measure of financial security or
independence.
Most people are use to a specific earning
level,
which is artificially low in many cases and not a useful judge of what is too
good to be true. For example, the annual interest rate paid by an American
financial institution is between one-half to a third of the
interest
paid by most
other financial institutions. Does a different financial institution that pays
250% more than the bank down the street sound too good
to be true, because that is happening quite commonly.
All of these reasons work together to make most people skeptical
about
trades. They pay much more than traditional financial vehicles;
there are a
great
number of
failures
due to
incapable or unscrupulous participants, and the US Government official statement
is that trades do not exist in order to increase the participation in traditional
investments and reduce the light of capital from the United States.
Regardless of these issues, there are many types of trade
projects, some
of which are not really trades. True trades are based on the sale of bank or government
paper
to artificially increase the money supply, but other financial investments such
as FOREX currency trading have become associated with high yield investments
lately.
The trade industry started approximately fifty years ago
as a
byproduct
of World War Two. Before WW2, the British Pound was the basis of international commerce.
If two
countries needed to trade merchandise, the monetary exchanges were in Pounds
more often than not. However, due to the damage of WW2, the British Empire no longer
had the
reach and strength to fund all international commerce and the international monetary community
decided to switch to the United States Dollar instead.
Unfortunately, the volume of United States Dollars in
circulation
was too small to support the level needed to facilitate the
ever-increasing levels of international commerce. To get around this
limitation, trades were invented to artificially inflate the money supply. With
this inflation, the money can be created as needed without artificial
constraints imposed by the level of actual money in circulation.
Today, there are assortments of quasi-trade
projects
plus two
real trade
methods. The real trade projects are either a European bank buy/sell
of bank notes in the top fifty financial institutions or in the United
States through the Federal Reserve. Fed trades can be bank trades but more
commonly are based on the buy/sell of US government securities.
In order to go into either type of trade, the
investor must have at least US $1,000,000 cash for placement. It is not legally possible
for a trader to speak with any potential investor who has less
than US $1,000,000 for trade. This is one of the
main reasons
why a
game that
collects five dollars from 20 people can not be in
trade, they
are short about US $999,900 dollars needed to even speak to a trader.
This is an international standard for all trades, but is
famous in the United States as one of the requirements to be an Accredited
Investor by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Although this is not
legal advice, as long as a potential investor has US $1M (US $1,000,000
dollars), states he or she understand the risks inherent in a non-traditional
trade process, and is familiar with trade projects in general, than it is
normally acceptable for that person to be to introduced to a
trader.
All trade projects follow the same basic process,
starting
with a
proper introduction. The trader cannot solicit participation, so an intermediary
must be
present to bridge
the trader and investor together, hi exchange for this introduction, a few
percentage points of the earnings are normally paid to the intermediaries out of
the trade
earnings.
It is easy to be a broker, which is why there are so
many
of them. As long as you know a trader or think you know a trader, then you can be an
intermediary. The key here is that you need to really know trade sources
or you will never be a successful intermediary or earn any
money.
The intermediary will discuss a general trade project
overview with the investor and collect the basic investment
application documents. These documents are fairly
simple
and comprise a proof of funds for at least US $ 1,000,000 along with
different personal information and a statement of non-solicitation.
The proof of funds must represent actual cash or cash
equivalent. Many players in the high yield field believe that nearly anything is
tradable, which is one of the reasons
why there are so many placement failures. For example, popular items which are
not tradable but which many brokers and fake traders play
with for placement include:
1. Old Federal Reserve Notes from the 1930s:
The Department of
Treasury in
the United States routinely destroys old money from the last
year
or two and replaces the destroyed notes with fresher currency. Old money,
regardless of
age, is
just old money
unless there is some kind of collectable value. While many people spend a great
deal of time
on
these notes, the US Treasury has not assigned any special value to them and they are worth
a dollar the same as they were seventy years ago (not counting
the depreciation from inflation). There are no trades based on the value of
these historical collector items and anyone holding them after all this
time has
only lost a
great
deal of money due to inflation.
2. Gold Backed Historical Bonds: Sometimes these are from old railroad
bonds and other times these are from governments that no longer exist. The
theory
is sound, they are suppose to be backed by gold bullion and
worth billions after a hundred years of annual interest. However, if the
government which issued the bond no longer
exists,
such as
in pre-war Germany, there is no liability imposed by those
bonds, such
as the government of post-war Germany, and they have no financial value despite
continual claims in
regards
to hypothetical decisions in the United Nations or fictitious insurance backing.
The old
railroad
bonds are similar. Even though a modern descendent can be traced through the
various mergers and acquisitions, that modern entity has no obligations for the
old bonds - which makes them worthless. In other words,
there is
no gold
backing and there is no modern company required to redeem the bonds, so
the bonds
are not
worth billions
of dollars in real money. To hide this fact, special warehouses certify a
hypothecated value for the bonds assuming they had value and safeguard them with
a great deal of concern and respect. Regardless, this does not provide any
inherent value to these collector items and it is not possible to enter them
into trade.
3. Foreign currency: In many cases, odd currency types
can be the mistaken basis of a potential trade project. For example, Mexico
devalued their currency a few years ago by dropping the last three digits in
their currency values. A 5,000-peso note today would be worth around 5,000,000
pesos under the old numbering system
even though
both
peso notes are the same value. The old notes are devalued to modern day
standards, but five million pesos seems like five-million pesos if you are not
aware that the true value is only five thousand. Even though the peso is
not
rated very high as compared to other world currencies, somebody looking at five
million pesos
is still
likely to
get very
excited even though this is actually not very much money and all trades are
based in
United
States
Dollars anyway.
4. Bank Guarantees and Letters of Credit: These are
the
two main financial instruments which uninformed intermediaries and potential investors
try to
place. Neither
instrument represents money; they are insurance policies that are redeemable
only in
limited
situations for limited periods of time. For example, if your house burns down
and you have a fire protection insurance policy to protect you against
that
devastating loss.
If
your insurance policy is worth US $1,000,000 but your house does not burn down,
you cannot dip into the unused US $1,000,000 anyway. Also, when the insurance
policy is
cancelled
or expired, the US $1,000,000 just disappears. This is because it was not real
money; it was only an insurance policy representing potential money that is
redeemable in limited ways for a limited time.
Because these are insurance policies that are rarely (or
never)
cashed in, a potential investor can purchase these documents for a very low fee
that is
a very
small percentage of the face value. However, even if the Bank Guarantee has a
face value
of US
$500,000,000, it is not even worth the US $200,000 that the insurance policy
cost because the
fees are
non-refundable.
It is not possible to trade any of these insurance policies, because they have
no cash value regardless of the millions or billions of dollars of insurance in
the Bank Guarantee or a Letter of Credit.
5. Another common type of placement is based on the
value
of tangible assets such as rugs, paintings, and oil reserves are the most
common, hi order to
place these
into trade, the investor must personally obtain a cash credit line which can be
housed into the trade bank.
These items are tradable, only because the investor
is
easily
able to
obtain a credit line himself or herself and use that cash for placement. In nearly
all cases,
investors
are unwilling to make this effort, which means that no trade is possible in those
cases.
Once a Proof of Funds representing real money is obtained
worth at least US $1,000,000, the trader can speak to the investor about the
trade project parameters. However, before this happens, many potential investors
will try to get as much information as
possible
in order to better decide about moving forward. Normally, this means the
investor will question the intermediaries for a while before deciding to move
forward and speak with the trader.
It is rare for an intermediary to know very much about
the trade project details. Many potential investors judge a trade program based
on broker comments or broker knowledge, which is flawed because intermediaries
actually know very little about the trade. Legally, only the investor
can obtain a trade contract, for his or her eyes-only. In other words, the
intermediary
is only responsible for resolving trader solicitation issues, he or she is not
suppose to sell the trade project or be a personal source
of credibility for the trade project.
Most of the trade projects that people have been exposed
to are pool investments. In this case, many small people come together to meet
the US $1,000,000 minimal placement amount. This can work
well, but there are many problems that can occur.
The investor in trade is accountable for the funds placed
into a project by the trader and trade bank. When the trader and the trade bank
pay him, they must be sure of where the profits are
going. For example, if a portion of the funds are used to launder drug
money or
purchase
weapons for terrorist, the trader and the trade bank can have some serious legal
consequences for paying that person trade profits.
Because trades will only pay investors that are
completely accountable, pool placements sometimes have troubles if the pool
participants do not properly behave.
For
example, if one of the potential participants tries to discuss the pool venture
with the trader or the trade bank, then obviously the trader and the trade bank
will know that they do not have complete information on hand as far as the
eventual distribution
of the profits.
Several problems are common in pool placements when small
participants get out of hand. First, traders are only able to place money from
individuals or companies that are placing at least US $1,000,000 into trade;
which means that the person trying to verify the safety of the trade is not a
valid trade participant. Second, none of the
smaller
people have been cleared to receive trade profits and it is not worth the effort
to clear an unknown number of people placing a small level of funds into the
pool. In some
cases, the cost to clear a participant may be more than the participant
deposits into the pool. Third, without the legal ability by the trader and trade
bank to contract with all of the sub-participants and ensure that
all funds
disbursed
are to approved destinations, the trader and the trade bank may
not pay
the sub-participants.
Many pool programs are able to resolve these problems
because they do not provide any details on the trade and they use disbursement
and collection bank or electronic currency accounts which have no direct
linkage to the trade and trade bank. In other words, they remove the ability of
the small level participants to cause problems that would be fairly common otherwise.
Most trade placements are ruined as a
result of intermediary problems and in most of these cases a potential investor
never even learns about the lost trade opportunity. Most of these conflicts
result from arguments over the fee split, which is zero
to all
parties when
nothing happens.
Other placements are fouled up because the
investor does not have real money or that money is not place able.
Another common problem is that brokers have no
real trade connections so a placement could not happen no matter how smoothly
everything else fits into place. The final reason is that potential investors
feel they are much more important then they actually are and are undesirable to the
trader due to personality conflicts.
Many potential investors are not successful because
they have
a
greatly inflated sense of their own self worth. Unless the trader has never
performed any trades
and is
hoping to finally be successful this time, the investor needs the trader much
more than the
trader needs
the investor. In other words, the trader is already earning money
whether the investor goes into the project or not.
In many cases, potential investors feel they can change
the trade procedures or can expect some kind of special concession for going
into the trade. There is very little interest in
working
with potential investors that cause unnecessary problems or animosity, which
means that many potential investors are quickly dropped from trade or barred
from entering due to personality issues.
Even though the trade could have worked, in many cases
the potential investor will claim the grapes were sour anyway. In many
cases, these potential investors do
not learn
their lesson
and do not behave any better with the next trader and instead expect more
concessions with each new trader as some kind of concession for the past
failures.
In other cases, it is possible that the investor himself
or herself is not tradable for many different reasons. It may be that
the investor has been associated with criminal activity or is a nationality that
is viewed unfavorably for one reason or another. The money for placement is also
important, a three-year history must be provided to prove the money is of
non-criminal origin and is free and clear without any liens or encumbrances. If
there are any past problems or a hint of potential future
problems, the investor is not tradable.
Assuming the trader is real, the potential investor behaves
himself
or herself, and the investor is tradable; the trader will provide the
details
of the trade and directly answer any questions the investor may have. The main
factors that the potential investor is
normally
concerned with are the safety of the invested funds and the potential earning
rates.
There are many ways to participate in
a
project, all
of which
are
based on money
and offer different safety levels. The main buzzword is a sole signatory bank
account,
which means that the investor can keep the money in his or her own bank account
under his or her sole control. This is reasonably safe depending on the wording
of the investment contract and the actions of the trader.
In order to perform a trade buy/sell of anything, the
trader must
either have
the money itself or the value of the money instead, hi a sole signatory bank
account, the value
of the
money is assigned to the trade at the discretion of the trader, which is
roughly
the same
as giving the trader the money directly. Some sole signatory bank
accounts are safe and secure, but this is basically a buzzword tossed around by amateurs
without
much of
a real
measure of safety or security.
Other safety factors can be an insurance policy or bank
guarantee,
depending on if the trade is through a bank or securities brokerage house, or
the ability to redeem the funds on deposit with a demand guarantee. In the
past, another buzzword many potential investors looked for was pay orders issued
in advance. This is not very common today and was
rarely
associated with real trades hi the past.
Most European trades are through a trade bank while US
Fed
trades are split fairly evenly between trade banks and securities brokerage
houses. In some cases, high volume trade banks will split the
transactions among several brokerage houses so it may be a bank
trade
but conducted through a securities brokerage firm.
There are many ways to deposit funds into a trade, with the
most
popular being a sole signatory bank account. This is possible only for high
level potential
investors due to the overhead setting up account scanning
and performing account scanning. It is extremely rare
to find account scanning below the US $10,000,000 level. Besides
a sole signatory bank account, the investor can normally purchase a US
Government security or bank Certificate of Deposit, in other cases; a brokerage
account can also be the basis of a trade.
According to the international laws that govern high
yield placements, only United States Dollars may be the basis for trade. Many
companies claim to be trading E-Gold or similar, but only United
States Dollars in a real bank or brokerage house can be used for trade. Many
pool participation companies use E-Gold or similar to collect and disburse
funds, which is a good idea, but E-Gold and similar electronic currency monetary
equivalent may not be directly traded in
any type of trade.
After an investor has signed the participation agreement,
and has funds ready for participation, the trade may begin. There are several
possible trade routes, all
of which are different.
FOREX currency trading is a not a real trade project but
is very profitable
and is almost a traditional investment. Basically, one type of money is
purchased while another is sold in the hopes that the exchange rates will
favorably change over the course of an hour or
a day. For example, if a British Pound is purchased with American Dollars at an
exchange
rate of One
Pound per Two Dollars; 1,000,000 US Dollars will obtain 500,000 UK Pounds. An hour later, the
trader still holds 500,000 Pounds, but the Dollars to Pounds exchange
rate changes.
In the old exchange rate, one dollar was worth 0.50
Pounds. In the new exchange rate, either the Pound becomes more valuable
or the Dollar drops, so the new exchange rate is one dollar to
0.45 Pounds. This means that it either takes more dollars to purchase the same
amount of pounds or the same amount of dollars will purchase less pounds. This
example is a drop in value of the US Dollar of eleven cents or a raise in the
British Pound by the same amount. With the new exchange rate, selling the
500,000 Pounds will result in 1,111,111 American Dollars. The extra US $111,111
dollars are real money and would represent a very large 11% profit shift.
A
currency trade rarely earns a profit level this high but leveraging is possible
and buy/sell trades can be as quick as 15 minutes.
When the invested funds are leveraged, the trade bank or
brokerage house allows the money to be multiplied five or ten times greater than
the actual investment amount. In traditional terms, this would be
similar to purchasing stocks or commodities on margin.
Leveraging the invested money is
the
secret to
the very
high earning
potential. A point spread may actually be only a penny on the dollar. However, if the
money
is leveraged ten times, that penny becomes ten cents instead.
With leveraging, US $1,000,000 can purchase US
$10,000,000 worth of UK Pounds. If the point spread is only a penny instead of eleven
cents in the earlier example, the end result would still work out to
US $1,100,000 on deposit because that penny is
based
on US $10,000,000 worth of currency instead of US $1,000,000.
All of the other buy/sell trades are similar; it only
depends on the type of security or financial instrument, which is traded. In the
United States, US Government securities are traded and many top banks
can also sell bank notes in a limited way while in Europe mostly
bank notes
are bought and sold. The easiest way to understand this process is to look at
how US banks provide so many loans for so many different purposes.
The American dollar is considered fiat money, which
basically means
it is a national currency that has no inherent value. It is money because the
government says it is money and made a law stating it must be used, but
there is no inherent value beyond the good faith and credit of the United
States Government.
This
is true for the Euro and most other national currencies as well, due to
the
limitations that a gold backed system imposes. In a value backed
monetary
system, you
can only have as much money as you have assets on hand, which limits the amount of money
which can be exchanged in that economy.
In other words, if you need to have $100,000,000 in your
economy for salaries to be paid, for citizens to purchase goods and services,
and to allow for international commerce, that government would need to
obtain $100,000,000 worth of precious metals first. Since
it is
easier and simpler to just print sheets of paper that contain ink
marks
writing out $100,000,000 and skip the actual purchasing of all that real value,
most governments stick with the printed paper and make
it a law forcing people to accept this as money.
The process for a European bank trade or a US Fed trade
is very similar, but different financial instruments are bought and sold. On a
much smaller
level,
US banks perform the same function.
Bank debentures, that is a common name for bank
instruments that are bought and sold, can be several different things. They are
essentially like a Certification of Deposit but created and sold instead of
being sold and created. To purchase a CD from a bank,
you
have to pay the money first and than the bank will create and sell you a CD based on
the amount of money you gave the bank.
Conversely, in a debenture sale, the bank creates it first and then
sells it afterward. Insurance companies and other cash based businesses
buy trillions of dollars of this paper to productively employ the
cash people use to pay their monthly premiums. Other debentures are for specific purposes such
a loan
in the millions
or billions to a major company performing an expansion or similar.
A debenture is profitable in a trade
sense
because there
is a
great difference in price between the sales price of the bank and the sales
price
of the end
consumer. For example, in the US, a treasury sells for around 93 cents on the
dollar to a consumer but actually passes through many intermediaries who get a few
pennies each. Most treasuries start around 50 cents
to 75 cents
if you
are an insider, but it is not possible to purchase them from the government
directly at
that
level.
The trade system is the reason why private investors
or institutional
buyers cannot purchase US treasuries directly from the US Government.
All treasuries
must be
purchased through a brokerage house through the trade process. Trades are the
private
part of the
transaction that drives up the price between what the government sells the
instruments and the 93 cents most end users pay.
The banks in Europe do the same thing but with a slightly
different process. With fractional banking, they
create a debenture most commonly called a Medium Term Note for US $100M that is sold
for around US $50M. From an accounting standpoint, they
have an
obligation now
for US $100M and a credit of US $50M in new earnings. The new earnings can be leveraged
into US $500M of lending power and normally a maximum of US $450M is
placed
back into the economy.
With US $450M on the books as incoming
obligations,
they have no trouble repaying US $100M to the debenture note holder. The note
holder can pay up to face value for the note and earns the difference plus
interest income over the three or four months before the
note is redeemed.
Between the end purchaser and the bank, a
lot of
intermediaries split the 45 to 50 cents between what the bank sold the note for
and what the end
user paid. This
48%, give or take, is split between the trader and an assortment of investors
and brokers, hi most cases, a large percentage of these earnings
must be paid to some kind of humanitarian project,
which
lowers the US $48M in earnings down to around US $10M in profits from that
single tranche which
is
split among the investor, the trader, the trade bank, and the intermediaries.
Assuming some of the bank loans default, the bank can
still expect
most of them to come back. If 10% of the loans default, out of US $450M they
can
expect to get back US $405M plus the interest. If the interest is 10%, they can
plan on getting back an extra US $45M in earnings from the loans that do not
default.
With the loan interest and only 10% of
the
loans defaulting,
the
bank can expect to earn around US $450M over the life of the loans. With the US
$50M
from the sale of the original debenture, this comes to US $500M. Minus the US
$100M debt from the
debenture itself, the bank will earn approximately US $400M for
each US $100M bank note sold at a 50% discount over the period of the loan
repayments.
This is not how all debentures work; there are many types
of bank paper and special circumstances. However,
this is the most common situation and fairly easy to understand.
US banks can do this as well on a much smaller scale;
basically
it is a tool to artificially inflate the money supply. This is not a trade
procure; instead,
they performed
solely to increase the volume of money in circulation. Instead of selling a
debenture, they leverage the money obtained from new CD sales and
client deposits. As long as there is a net increase, they can leverage
the difference ten times to make house loans, college loans,
car
loans, emergency signature loans, personal loans, extend credit card credit, and
everything else.
Without the ability to inflate the money supply, these
loans would not be possible. This is the main reason
why a gold backed currency is not possible, most Americans would not be able
to attend college or purchase an automobile.
Most people never consider how a
bank earns
money and
just
assume this is the difference between the interest rate on CD sales and the interest
rate on loans along with a smattering of
fees, which is not very much money to build a marble building, hire
three dozen
employees, purchase nice furniture and equipment, hire a security staff, purchase
television advertisements, and give out millions of dollars in loans.
Although many banks are dropping their service charges to
be competitive, even a dollar a month is not going to go very far. Other fees
are not very high either such as selling a CD for 5% and loaning the money
out for 10%. I suppose most people think there are just as many people buying a one
year CD as there are getting a five year car loan. On top of that, most people
live paycheck to paycheck and their bank account is cleaned out before the end
of the pay period.
Television commercials can cost an advertiser anywhere
between US $50,000 and US $500,000 per 30 second advertisement and some of the more
popular
television
shows
can go as high as several million dollar for the same plug. This is very expensive
considering that many financial institutions are purchasing these commercial
slots to tell people that there are no bank fees if potential clients will just open
a bank account and deposit some money.
This sounds like the bank is losing a great deal of
money,
but what actually happens in this case is that the bank sells several new CDs
and obtains a great deal of new deposits over the last quarter totals. The difference
here we will call US $1M in new money, which means $1,000,000 more United States
Dollars
are on deposit in the bank this accounting period than the last accounting
period. Of this money, they leverage the US $1M into US
$9M in
lending
power. They can actually loan out US $10M in loans, but if a CD or deposit is
withdrawn untimely, that can create liquidity problems so the full leveraging
potential is never used incase that buffer is
needed to cover
a liquidity shortfall.
Of the US $9M in loans that are made, US $1M can be
expected to default leaving only around US $8M
in profit over the life of the loans. Some of these loans are short term and
others are long term but the bank can expect to receive US $8,000,000 in profit
when all of them are paid back plus interest. With these inbound
obligations,
there is no trouble paying the expenses incurred by the US $1M from the
original Certificates of Deposit when the bank repays that money plus an
additional US $50,000 interest income paid tot he CD owner.
The left over money (around US $6,950,000 over the life
of the loans) is used to pay for the building, pay
employee salaries, purchase nice office equipment and furniture, hirer some
security guards, make other loans, and pay bank profit. This is one
of the
main
reasons why there are more financial institutions than churches in most towns.
Because we are working with fiat money, which has
no
inherent value, the banks are able to create any money they want digitally and lend it out. This
artificially
inflates the money supply and allows for many
people to purchase something they ordinarily would not be
able to
afford, such as a house paid over 30 years or a car over five. There is no real limit to
the amount of money that can be artificially created.
The money that is created is not invented out
of nothing.
Technically, this money is borrowed from the Fed at the interest rate that is
raised
or lowered when the US debt based economy needs tweaking.
The leveraging through fractional banking is the level
of money
that the bank can loan out based on money from the Fed. The Fed does not invent the
money either, it creates whatever is needed digitally and it becomes real
money as a debt of the United States Government.
The two systems are the same, except that European
financial institutions are able to perform this on a larger
scale in advance. They can print debentures now for sale
later
while American banks can only sell Certifications of Deposit after the sale. Either
way, these transactions allow for a great level of earnings through fractional
banking techniques.
In the United States, many different securities can be
bought
and sold but the most common are US treasuries. These are printed by the
government and sold
through
brokerage houses. It is not possible to purchase a Treasury directly from the US
Government; they must be purchased only through a brokerage
house.
While this process is fairly complex, it is essentially
the
same as European bank debentures. The US government prints a Treasury note and
sells it after printing. The notes are drastically marked down and passed
through a series of intermediaries before a brokerage house sells it to a cash
based business like a utility company, an insurance company, or retirement
fund managers for around 93 cents on the dollar.
Many other securities can be bought and sold, but are not
a real trade project. Instead, these are traditional investments that rely on
the skill and physic ability of the trader, such as earning money in stocks
on Wall Street or in Commodities. In
most cases, your stockbroker who performs these trades for you are called
brokers, that is a good example of the differences in these investment vehicles.
A trade project is special
because there is a built in profit that will
always
happen. This is in virtue of the special intermediary process between the creator of
the item being sold and the end holder who will purchase and keep the note until
maturity. When purchasing something on Wall Street, you are basically performing
a currency exchange and hoping to catch a favorable exchange rate, there is no
built in profit.
Stocks on Wall Street are not fiat money like in currency
exchanging. In currency exchanging, the money being bought and sold has value
based on the good faith and credit of the issuing governments. Any gains or
loses are gains and losses of real money.
In Wall Street, a stock has very little connection
to the
issuing company,
which makes the value less obvious. This is readily apparent in observing shifts
in value.
On the ForEx
market, two or three pennies are large shift while on Wall Street the DOW can
perform triple digit movements. Since the DOW is the dollar
value of
30 some different stocks added together, a 100-point shift means that these
stocks collectively
change
in value by at least 100 pennies. Another example of stocks versus fiat money is
that stock
profits are not
considered real money until after the stock is sold. Your loan officer will be
happy to explain to you why stock values drop around 70% when used for
collateral.
It is possible to earn money doing ForEx and Wall Street
trades,
but they are not real projects because these buy/sell trades do not factor in a
profit at the outset. A profit is likely, but based more on luck or physic
ability than the pre-coordinated plan of the trade project.
Only in a trade can the potential for earnings happen in a reasonably safe and
secure way because
only in a trade project is the potential profit included as part of the trade
project parameters.
Because
stocks are a foolish investment considering these other financial vehicles, the US
Government has a vested interest in ensuring that trade projects are
not common
knowledge or available to common investors.
If Wall Street were to drop in
value,
the entire US economy will slump. Previous newsletters have discussed this in
greater detail, but essentially, Wall Street is
a
route for US companies to generate free money without a great deal of obligations
towards the stocks which are sold. This money can be used for expansion or any
other purpose and is essentially free money.
Unfortunately, a great portion of the common US
Citizens
have purchased
these stocks, so there is an obligation on the behalf of the US Government to
make sure this investment remains at a non-zero level.
Because stocks have no inherent value, are not money itself, and the feelings of
what people think other people will think about a company is more
important
than the actions or inaction's of the company itself; the US Government has an
uphill battle getting more people to buy stocks than sell them.
If more people are selling than buying, the value of a
stock will drop regardless of any factors related to the company itself. This is
simple supply and demand, if there is more
supply than demand, the price drops until the demand increases. To stop this, the
US
Government must force new investors to deposit money into Wall
Street every single day. Even if an investor cannot be encouraged to invest more
money, the US
Government
must stop investors from selling whatever they have already purchased.
Because of this need to keep Wall Street money on Wall
Street,
the official US Government position on trades is that they do not exist.
That money
must not
be removed
from Wall Street or all of the value on Wall Street will drop faster than the
consumer confidence
would
ordinarily indicate, make consumer confidence even lower.
Getting back to the start of this article,
potential participants are removed from eligibility through a
series
of requirements that keep trades open only to a limited number
of high network participants. The rest of the world should plan to purchase stocks in
an effort to keep the stock value of all the previously sold
stocks
at a non-zero level.
The other part of the placement process, besides keeping
many people out, is to resolve solicitation issues. After the intermediary
confirms the potential investor is a legal participant in that he or
she confirms non-solicitation and posses the required participation amount,
then the trader will discuss the trade project and maybe a trade placement
will happen.
When a trade placement happens, regardless if
this is through
a sole signatory
bank account, a brokerage account, or another method, the trader has
access to the money placed into trade by the investor.
The money is very important because it is the basis of
the buy/sell for the trader. The money itself is not involved in the buy/sell,
but it allows for the trader to move the
instruments from the creator to the end user, in other words, if the investor
places US $10,000,000 into trade, the trader can use this money to hold US
$100,000,000 worth of bank debentures or US Treasuries but not actually purchase
them as the
sale has already been coordinated with an end purchaser before the trader
obtained the
debentures
or treasuries.
Only the end user will actually purchase the debenture or
treasury and hold it until maturity. The money submitted by the investor to
bankroll the trade is not actually used
to
purchase the debenture or treasury, instead it only serves to provide the margin
for the trader to pass the debenture or treasury from the maker to the pre-coordinated
end user.
The international laws which govern these trade
projects
place several
limits on this process, which is why traders are always interested in fresh
investors. Because
of these
laws,
it is not possible for a trader or a trade bank to bankroll the transfers personally,
only outside investors can provide the money to hold
the
financial instruments during the buy/sell. Also, investor money is only good for
specific projects and cannot be recycled over and over again into fresh
projects. Ongoing trades will always require a fresh source of capital.
In many cases, there is a need for a humanitarian project
to be associated with a trade project. This is not a large
concern for the investor; the trader or trade bank will normally supply whatever
reason is the basis of the trade. However, in these cases, most of
the
trade earnings are legally required to go to the humanitarian project that forms
the basis of the trade. This does not mean the trade is not profitable, just
that some of
the
profit is diverted to a worthy cause.
In many cases, a trader will coordinate a specific
project based on a specific trading velocity and the bank ability to print
debentures or other factors. For a popular trade, the number of potential
investors may exceed the amount of money needed to perform the pre-coordinated
buy/sell tranches. In this case, the trade project is ongoing but can be
considered closed because no new investors may participate.
Based on the trade parameters, some
investors
may be able to participate in a trade project
for many years. These projects are attached to long-term buy/sell contracts and
tend to earn a lower amount. Other projects are very quick but pay a
great deal more because of the short time frame for participation. A
shorter project might last for only part of a year, but
will pay much more than an ongoing open-ended placement.
Earnings from trade are generated each trade day,
which
is normally three or four times weekly. However, it is rare for quick payment
account periods of a week or less because longer time frames allow
for compounding and less overhead performing and tracking
daily
or weekly payments.
In some cases, trades at the US $100M level will pay
daily, but
even then that is not desirable due to the lot compounding. If you are a member of
a daily
pay trade
that claims to earn money holding an electronic currency and costs only US $10 to
corner the
world
market, you
are probably not in a real trade. It is possible to earn money because some
people will always earn money in a ponzi game. However, the success or failure of this
game has no relationship to any other game or any aspect of reality
in any way, shape, or form.
In other words, if you are in a game and are successful,
that
is at the expense of later participants. If you are in a game and are not
successful, that does not affect any other game, program, or any aspect of
reality. It just means you waited too long to join or did not cause enough of your friends to
lose money.
When these games slow down and close, many people feel
that this indicates some kind of problem about something. In some cases, many
games will use the same excuse, which causes people to think some kind
of trend is happening. Unfortunately, because the game had no basis in
reality,
it is safe to assume that no aspect of the game has a connection to reality and
all of these ideas and beliefs are false.
Normally, when a game closes, people slow down
on
participation in
other
games or they remove funds from those games to reduce their risk exposure.
Because those other games are ponzi payments just like the original game, anything that reduces
the money
flowing
into those games will reduce the money flowing out. When the withdrawals
exceed the deposits, the game closes.
This creates a wave of closures until people stop pulling out
money
from games and a new balance between deposits and withdrawals is found.
The closure waves happen for two reasons, with the first being reduced
participation and increased withdrawals. The second has to do with
misinformation published
during the game closure.
It would be extremely rare for a game to close stating
they were a ponzi scheme and ran out of fresh money. As a result, all games will
close stating some kind of external factor as the reason for problems. These
excuses tend to be fairly similar in most cases, because they are not based in reality as
much as what most people will
believe
and accept.
In some cases, this fuels the game closure wave because
many people will buy into whatever the popular excuses are at the time. For
example, the US Patriot Act or similar is
a
popular theme because most people will accept US Government meddling as
a valid
reason for failure or complications. This is probably not true, because the
game
never actually
entered
into any trades
or earned any external money, so there was nothing to meddle with, but it is
a good
excuse to shift the blame for the failure to somebody else.
If several games are forced to close because
of the decreased deposits or increased withdrawals, then several
games will present similar excuses. In this case, each of the game closures
serve to justify the other game closures and many people will believe there is
a
problem that actually does not exist.
On Wall Street, this is called investor confidence. The
company printed on the stock certificate is not very important
compared to what investors think other
investors
think. If
investors feel other people will buy something, they want to buy it first. If
investors feel that other people will be selling something, they want to unload it first.
Stocks and games are very similar, but stocks do not have an
obligation
to repay
anyone. A game on the other hand must redeem all of the deposits or it
is
considered a
failure,
which is impossible because the later deposits are used for payments to the
earlier members. Because games try to represent real money and stocks do
not,
games will close but stocks just have corrections.
This process is part of the reason why this article on
how trades work is necessary. Most people are limited only to the information
that the game invents to describe a trade they are not doing. After the game
closes, additional misinformation is presented to shift the blame to a different
entity as to why the nonexistent trade failed, which
further
confuses many people.
While this article did not discuss a variety of different
ways to perform buy/sell tranches and while this is not a complete list of
financial instruments that may be bought and sold, this discussion is fairly
complete in terms of trade projects as whole with
all of the
different
factors which make trade projects successful.
Hopefully you have a better understanding of how trade
projects work, who can get into them, the basic process of participation, what
is acceptable to trade and what is not, and how the money is
earned. If you take it upon yourself to understand this process
in greater
detail, you
should be able to make more informed game participation decisions and you
should have a
much better understanding about what it means when we discuss going trader direct.
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